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August 2009

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Jul. 2nd, 2009

Russia shuts out the international community

The Russian leadership’s actions have made it clear that it wants no international presence in Georgia’s occupied regions. That begs the question why this is the case, says Svante Cornell. Read his article from Daily Tepegraph.

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Jun. 23rd, 2009

Is Another Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact Imminent?

History shows that budding relations between Russia and Germany are a sure sign of conflict. The Trumphet analyzes Russo-German relationship through the lances of historical experience.
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Jun. 22nd, 2009

Georgia - still Insecure, Russia - still Dangerous

Ten months after the “August war” between Georgia and Russia, violent incidents and the lack of an effective security regime in and around the conflict zones of South Ossetia and Abkhazia create a dangerous atmosphere in which extensive fighting could again erupt. Russia has not complied with key aspects of the ceasefire agreements that President Medvedev reached in August/September 2008 with French President Sarkozy in his then EU presidency role. Its 15 June Security Council veto of an extension of the sixteen-year-old UN observer mission mandate in Georgia and Abkhazia and its apparent intention to require the removal of the mission of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) by the end of the month are blows to regional security that will further fuel tensions. Most of the on-the-ground conflict resolution machinery is thus being dismantled. Moscow should review its counterproductive position and work for a reasonable compromise allowing the UN and OSCE monitors to continue their important work. Read International Crisis group full report.

Dec. 1st, 2008

Georgia: The Risks of Winter - Crisis Group Reports

The situation in and around Georgia’s conflict areas remains unstable. Violent incidents are continuing. Shots were fired near a convoy carrying the Georgian and Polish presidents on 23 November. European Union (EU) monitors are being denied access to South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Unambitious multi-party negotiations focusing on security and internally displaced person (IDP) return have gotten off to a slow start in Geneva. For the moment, however, domestic politics are the capital’s main preoccupation. President Mikheil Saakashvili’s position is at least temporarily secure, but his administration is likely to be severely tested politically and economically in the winter and spring months ahead. The August 2008 war with Russia and the global financial crisis have seriously undermined Georgia’s economy and the foreign investment climate. Social discontent could rise as economic conditions worsen unless the government pushes forward with economic and political change. Click here to view the full report of CRISIS GROUP INTERNATIONAL or read an overview on my blog.
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From the Series of "Mutual Accusations"

The Georgian Interior Ministry said on December 1, that the South Ossetian militias opened “intensive fire” in direction of the Georgian villages located at the administrative border in the south-east from Tskhinvali late last night. The fire was opened in direction of the villages of Mereti, Kveshi and Koshka, the Interior Ministry said. It also said that the Georgian police did not return fire.
Authorities in breakaway South Ossetia, however, have claimed that the Georgian side opened fire from the villages of Nikozi and Kveshi on Saturday and Sunday, respectively.
Meanwhile, head of EU Monitoring Mission in Georgia (EUMM), Hansjörg Haber, said in a statement on December 1, that the situation along the administrative boundary lines “is unpredictable, incidents are still occurring.” Civil Georgia  

EU monitors in Georgia to relocate

 European Union observers in Georgia say they will move their offices closer to a volatile area around the breakaway province of South Ossetia. The EU mission said in a statement Monday that it will relocate its offices in the Georgian capital Tbilisi and the Black Sea port of Poti. It said the move would help the monitors respond quickly to any challenges in the tense area.
More than 200 EU monitors have been deployed to Georgia to monitor compliance with a French-brokered truce that ended Russia's war with Georgia in August. AP
 

Sep. 1st, 2008

EU 'Gravely concerned' but suspends talks on Russia pact

European Union leaders have agreed to suspend talks on a new partnership agreement with Moscow until Russian troops have withdrawn from Georgia.  EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso said it was clear it could not "continue as if nothing had happened", after an emergency summit in Brussels. The EU also condemned Russia's move to recognise the independence of Georgia's regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.
Russia said the talks suspension had damaged the credibility of the bloc. "It is more of a self-punishment for the European Union because this does not improve the EU's credibility as a negotiating partner," Russia's envoy to the EU, Vladimir Chizhov, said. 

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The timing of the talks, originally scheduled for mid-September, would depend on Russian forces moving back to their pre-7 August positions, he added.

Mr Sarkozy, whose country is the current holder of the EU presidency, said the crisis meant the bloc had to re-examine its relationship with Russia.

"The EU would welcome a real partnership with Russia, which is in the interests of all, but you have to be two to have a partnership," he said.

The French president also announced that he would visit Moscow on Monday along with Mr Barroso and EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana for a "crucial" meeting with the Russian government.

A joint statement from the EU summit said the European Council was gravely concerned by the "disproportionate reaction of Russia" in Georgia, and called on other states not to follow Russia's lead by recognising the independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia.

"We are convinced that it is in Russia's own interest not to isolate itself from Europe," it added.

 

There was also a strong signal of support for Georgia, with EU-wide backing for a donors' conference for reconstruction, the promise of a free trade area and fewer travel restrictions on its citizens.

To coincide with the summit, Georgians held several rallies across their country and in other European capitals, at which they called for further Western support and assistance.

President Mikhail Saakashvili told a crowd of thousands in Tbilisi's Freedom Square that Georgia was "united as never before" and urged EU leaders not to give up in the face of Russian "aggression".

'Responsible state'

Earlier, Mr Lavrov warned the US and its allies that supporting President Saakashvili would be a historic mistake, and called for an arms embargo "while a different government turns Georgia into a normal state".

 

"To protect the region from the recurrence of violence, Russia will continue taking measures to punish the guilty, so that this regime is never able to do evil," he said.

Speaking in Moscow, Mr Lavrov said Russia had returned to the world stage as a responsible state which could defend its citizens.

Mr Lavrov's comments follow Mr Medvedev's redefining of Russia's foreign policy principles.

Russia, the Kremlin leader declared, would no longer accept a situation whereby a single country, like the US, sought global domination.

Mr Medvedev also pledged to defend the lives and dignity of Russian citizens, wherever they are located.

He made it clear that there were parts of the world where Russia sees itself as having privileged interests.

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Aug. 31st, 2008

WHAT THE EUROPEAN UNION CAN DO ABOUT GEORGIA AFTER THE RUSSIAN INVASION

By Vladimir Socor
Eurasia Daily Monitor

Saturday, August 30, 2008

 


German Minister of Foreign Affairs Frank-Walter
Steinmeier has a vested interest in
resolving the Russia-Georgia conflict

The EU’s emergency summit on September 1 must contemplate the wreckage of European policies in the eastern neighborhood and toward Russia. Following Russia’s invasion of Georgia and the forcible change of borders there, the EU can expect intensified Russian pressures (perhaps after a decent interval) on Ukraine, the Baltic states, Moldova, and Azerbaijan.
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